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On Sunday evening, Bankers Life Fieldhouse will host a Round of 32 matchups for No. 5 seed Villanova and No. 13 seed North Texas.
Let’s dig deeper into this game with our Villanova vs North Texas prediction, which includes Villanova North Texas odds, Villanova North Texas score, analysis, and an ATS prediction.
In the first round, Villanova beat Winthrop 73-63 on Friday. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, a sophomore forward, scored 22 points and now has 48 points in his most recent two games. Since having to suffer some late-season injuries, the Wildcats had lost three of their last four games well before the NCAA Tournament.
North Texas has now won two consecutive overtime games. During Friday’s first round of the NCAA Tournament, the Mean Green defeated fourth-seeded Purdue 78-69 in overtime. Prior to that, they took an extra five minutes to defeat Western Kentucky 61-57 in the C-USA Tournament championship game. For UNT, senior G Javion Hamlet has caught fire. He had 24 points against the Boilermakers and averaged nearly 20.1 points per game in his last eight games.
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North Texas vs. Villanova Betting Prediction
The Villanova Wildcats upset No. 12 seed Winthrop in the first round, but let’s talk about whether Villanova North Texas betting possess what it takes to beat the Mean Green and cover the 5+ points in this game.
- Villanova: 65
- North Texas: 57
North Texas vs. Villanova Odds, Spread, and Lines
BetMGM odds; see CasinoWatchPA for a Villanova North Texas game complete list. The Villanova North Texas prediction lines were last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
Moneyline
- Villanova -250
- North Texas +200
When senior guard Collin Gillespie suffered a season-ending knee injury on March 3, the Wildcats’ chances of advancing to the Big Dance were severely harmed. However, after an entire week of preparation – and possibly to clear some mental space after several last struggles- Villanova quickly dispatched Winthrop.
Pass upon that money line, but watch for any price movement south of +285.
Against the spread/ATS
- Villanova -5.5 (-110)
- North Texas +5.5 (-110)
Villanova is 3-0-1 ATS in its most recent four games against opponents averaging.600 or higher.
The Wildcats can benefit from improved intermediate defense, improved ball handling, and what appears to be a significant advantage in foul line production.
It is also appropriate as a dwindle of a trendy underdog. So take a chance on VILLANOVA -5.5. (-110).
Over/Under
- 127.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
There are slow tempos on both ends. Villanova appears to be chess-playing the last five to seven minutes in a meticulous victory. Support the UNDER 127.5. (-110).
Why Can North Texas Cover the Spread?
North Texas consistently proved it could compete inside this tournament with an overtime win over No. 4 Purdue on Friday, a game the Mean Green led for almost the entire duration of regulation and overtime.
With the nation’s No. 21 scoring defense (62.5 ppg allowed) and then a methodical offense that consistently appears to find good shots, UNT shrinks games on opponents, shooting 48.4% from the field (25th in the nation) and 37.2% from deep (44th best).
They do have a star guard in Javion Hamlet, who hardly leaves the court and has the ability to take over a game like numerous March guards before him. The Mean Green play small, yet they have defeated back-to-back opposing players with elite big men, so Jeremiah Robinson-Earl of Villanova will not intimidate them.
Why Villanova Has a Chance to Cover the Spread
The Wildcats rocked off the post-Gillespie demons with such a convincing 73-63 win over Winthrop that should cause North Texas to pause. They have superior athletes in addition to another co-Big East Player of the Year, player Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, who led them to victory on Friday night with 22 points, 11 rebounds with six assists, and three blocks.
Villanova has been an outstanding cover team this season, covering the spread in 16 of its last 21 NCAA Tournament games, which include 13 of its last 16 as a favorite.
The Wildcats have also covered five of six games in this small 5-7 favorite window. With three ATS losses in 11 tries this season against championship teams, Villanova should be able to cover again, this time against the smaller UNT group.
